If you live in Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, or Virgina – then today is SUPER TUESDAY! Expect to hear nothing else on the news about this tomorrow or, really, for the rest of the week.
Some thoughts, hat-tip to Nate Silver:
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| When I am hyperbolic, I do it right. |
- Mitt Romney will obviously win Virginia. The only two on the ballot are him and Ron Paul.
- Ohio and Vermont will likely go Romney,
- Gingrich has the home team advantage in Georgia. The same principle applies to Mitt Romney in Massachusetts.
- Tennessee and Oklahoma are looking strong for Rick Santorum.
- Sorry, Ron Paul!
- Alaska, Idaho, and North Dakota are caucuses, not primaries. They all seem to be likely Romney states.
UPDATE: I'm sticking with my prediction, but FiveThirtyEight seems to think the caucus states are all toss-ups.
UPDATE 2: Nate Silver makes some wonky predictions, and here is some updated polling.
UPDATE 3: Polls have closed and the results have started to come in. Mitt Romney has won Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia. Newt Gingrich has won Georgia. Six states to go!
UPDATE 4: Rick Santorum has won Tennessee!
UPDATE 5: …and Oklahoma!
UPDATE 6: …and North Dakota!
UPDATE 7: Mitt Romney has clinched Idaho.
UPDATE 8: Wyoming and Ohio are still being counted, but, Alaska has gone to Romney.
UPDATE 9: Full results:
UPDATE 2: Nate Silver makes some wonky predictions, and here is some updated polling.
UPDATE 3: Polls have closed and the results have started to come in. Mitt Romney has won Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia. Newt Gingrich has won Georgia. Six states to go!
UPDATE 4: Rick Santorum has won Tennessee!
UPDATE 5: …and Oklahoma!
UPDATE 6: …and North Dakota!
UPDATE 7: Mitt Romney has clinched Idaho.
UPDATE 8: Wyoming and Ohio are still being counted, but, Alaska has gone to Romney.
UPDATE 9: Full results:
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| Click to enlarge. |
