Thursday, August 25, 2011

Hurricane Irene, Day 2 Updates

MOST CURRENT POST CAN BE FOUND HERE.


UPDATE 8 (08/25/11, 19:45): The state of Connecticut has updated at least two of its websites to include information about Hurricane Irene. The Connecticut Emergency Alerting and Notification System site is fully operational, and the Governor’s website now has a page devoted to Hurricane Irene-related issues. The state has also closed all parks and campgrounds this weekend.

The computer models, however, seem to be improving (for Connecticut, that is). Take a look at the latest from Wunderground:



It now appears that Irene will directly hit New Jersey, before even coming close to Connecticut. At this point, the prediction indicates that it will likely be downgraded to a Category 1. (Connecticut was originally going to be hit with a Category 2.) WFSB Channel 3 agrees. However, NBC Connecticut (sorry no permalink) is skeptical. Their meteorologist believes that the hurricane will, instead, carve “straight through central Connecticut.” Fox 61 WTIC believes that Stonington will be “ground zero”. That’s pretty shocking – considering that other reports say the exact opposite.



UPDATE 9 (08/25/11, 22:16): In other words, here's where we're at now:
Click to enlarge.
Confusing, isn't it?


Oh, by the way, looks as if Gov. Malloy has signed a declaration of emergency in Connecticut.


UPDATE 10 (08/26/11, 01:08): Thomas Budd left a spot-on comment on this post:
Be careful now about the improving situation, Connecticut is now projected to be on the eastern side of the storm meaning that the state will get the strongest winds and storm surges.
He also pointed out (in a Facebook message) that the storm has shifted 15 miles eastward. I still contend  that being hit with a Category 1 is still better than being hit with a Category 2, though.  


UPDATE 11 (08/26/11, 02:36): CBS News is reporting that Irene may became a Category 4 soon. NOAA and Wunderground do not agree with CBS on this one. 


In related news, WTNH Channel 8 published this handy tide chart, and encourages shoreline residents to pass it along. I concur.



UPDATE 12 (08/26/11, 11:25): The computer models being employed by the local media have seemingly synchronized:



This is just in: Irene is getting weaker. I mean, 105 MPH isn't something to laugh at, but it could be a whole lot worse. 

Also, NOAA/Wunderground have updated their own computer models:

This image displays out of date information. Scroll to the bottom for the latest.

Do not misinterpret this: there's still a tropical storm warning for the top half of Connecticut, and a hurricane warning for the bottom half. However, it may be slightly less intense than what was predicted at first.

UPDATE 13 (08/26/11, 15:03): Connecticut's Attorney General, George Jepsen, is warning people about price gouging:

To report profiteering or unconscionably excessive pricing on gasoline or other fuels during the abnormal market period, e-mail food.standards@ct.gov.  Include the business name, its location, and the prices you observed. 
You could also call 1-800-842 2649 during business hours and at 860-713-6160 after hours and on the weekend.
UPDATE 14 (08/26/11, 19:50): Irene has weakened to a Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. Wunderground/NOAA is now predicting that a tropical storm, not a Category 1, will hit Connecticut:


Let's be clear: a tropical storm can still do a LOT of damage. I'm not saying that it's as bad as a Category 1 – but it should not be taken lightly.